Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Wellington Phoenix favourites at 52% (Central Coast Mariners 27%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.85 to 1.25 and 5 wins in Wellington Phoenix's last 10 matches to 1 for Central Coast Mariners. It put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 56%. Wellington Phoenix won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Central Coast Mariners have gone 7 matches without a win.
• They last met on 21 Dec 2025, when Wellington Phoenix won 3-1.