Wealdstone vs Harrogate

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Harrogate favourites at 58% (Wealdstone 20%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.71 to 0.87 and 7 wins in Harrogate's last 10 matches to 4 for Wealdstone. It put over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 50%. Harrogate won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Harrogate are unbeaten in 6 matches.