Watford vs Southampton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Southampton favourites at 54% (Watford 24%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.62 to 0.97, 6 wins in Southampton's last 10 matches to 2 for Watford and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 52%. Watford won 2-1, against the model's 54% for Southampton.

Key facts before the match

• Southampton have won 5 matches in a row.
• They last met on 7 Feb 2026, when Southampton won 1-0.