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Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe

Wales vs Norway

Thursday, 01 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Wales2-1Norway
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
1-0

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Norway favourites at 47% (Wales 33%, draw 20%). That rests on 6 wins in Norway's last 10 matches to 2 for Wales. It put over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 66%. Wales won 2-1, against the model's 47% for Norway.

Key facts before the match

  • Wales have lost 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 12 Nov 2011, when Wales won 4-1.
Europe•UEFA Nations League
L28d
L31d
L141d
D145d
D208d
D213d
W341d
W344d
L377d
L381d
2W · 3D · 5L
vs
L28d
W31d
L105d
W112d
W117d
L121d
W124d
W130d
D140d
W146d
6W · 1D · 3L
Thursday, 01 October 2026 at 21:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Wales2-1Norway
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
1-0
H2H: 3-3-1
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Wales at homeNorway away
54
1/53/4
3/51/4
1/50/4
2.402.25
1.601.00
5/54/4
2/53/4
1/51/4
5/54/4
1/50/4
0/50/4
0/50/4
2/53/4
5/54/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Wales: 1.53
Expected Goals
Norway: 1.88
Wales
33%
Draw
20%
Norway
47%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 66%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Wales · # = league position now
27 Sept2026
Denmark#2 vs Wales#3
2-0L
24 Sept2026
Portugal#1 vs Wales#3
1-0L
06 Jun2026
Romania#1 vs Wales#3
2-1L
02 Jun2026
Wales#3 vs Ghana#3
1-1D
31 Mar2026
Wales#3 vs Northern Ireland
1-1D
26 Mar2026
Wales#3 vs Bosnia & Herzegovina#3
1-1D
18 Nov2025
Wales#3 vs North Macedonia
7-1W
15 Nov2025
Liechtenstein vs Wales#3
0-1W
13 Oct2025
Wales#3 vs Belgium#3
2-4L
09 Oct2025
England#2 vs Wales#3
3-0L
Team 2 Form
Norway · # = league position now
27 Sept2026
Norway#4 vs Portugal#1
1-2L
24 Sept2026
Norway#4 vs Denmark#2
3-2W
12 Jul2026
Norway#4 vs England#2
1-2L
05 Jul2026
Brazil#1 vs Norway#4
1-2W
30 Jun2026
Ivory Coast#2 vs Norway#4
1-2W
26 Jun2026
Norway#4 vs France#1
1-4L
23 Jun2026
Norway#4 vs Senegal#3
3-2W
17 Jun2026
Iraq#4 vs Norway#4
1-4W
07 Jun2026
Morocco#2 vs Norway#4
1-1D
01 Jun2026
Norway#4 vs Sweden#3
3-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
12 Nov2011
Wales#3 vs Norway#4
4-1•
06 Feb2008
Wales#3 vs Norway#4
3-0•
27 May2004
Norway#4 vs Wales#3
0-0•
05 Sept2001
Norway#4 vs Wales#3
3-2•
07 Oct2000
Wales#3 vs Norway#4
1-1•
21 Sept2083
Norway#4 vs Wales#3
0-0•
22 Sept2082
Wales#3 vs Norway#4
1-0•

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