Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe
Wales vs Norway
Thursday, 01 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Wales2-1Norway
- 1ST HALF
- 1-1
- 2ND HALF
- 1-0
Prediction and result
Before kickoff, the model made Norway favourites at 47% (Wales 33%, draw 20%). That rests on 6 wins in Norway's last 10 matches to 2 for Wales. It put over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 66%. Wales won 2-1, against the model's 47% for Norway.
Key facts before the match
- Wales have lost 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 12 Nov 2011, when Wales won 4-1.
Europe•UEFA Nations League

Wales(3)
L28d
L31d
L141d
D145d
D208d
D213d
W341d
W344d
L377d
L381d

Norway(1)
L28d
W31d
L105d
W112d
W117d
L121d
W124d
W130d
D140d
W146d
Thursday, 01 October 2026 at 21:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Wales2-1Norway
- 1ST HALF
- 1-1
- 2ND HALF
- 1-0
H2H: 3-3-1
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Wales at homeNorway away
54
1/53/4
3/51/4
1/50/4
2.402.25
1.601.00
5/54/4
2/53/4
1/51/4
5/54/4
1/50/4
0/50/4
0/50/4
2/53/4
5/54/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Wales: 1.53
Expected Goals
Norway: 1.88
Wales
33%
Draw
20%
Norway
47%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 66%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Wales · # = league position now
27 Sept2026
Denmark#2 vs Wales#3
2-0L
24 Sept2026
Portugal#1 vs Wales#3
1-0L
06 Jun2026
Romania#1 vs Wales#3
2-1L
02 Jun2026
Wales#3 vs Ghana#3
1-1D
31 Mar2026
Wales#3 vs Northern Ireland
1-1D
26 Mar2026
Wales#3 vs Bosnia & Herzegovina#3
1-1D
18 Nov2025
Wales#3 vs North Macedonia
7-1W
15 Nov2025
Liechtenstein vs Wales#3
0-1W
13 Oct2025
Wales#3 vs Belgium#3
2-4L
09 Oct2025
England#2 vs Wales#3
3-0L
Team 2 Form
Norway · # = league position now
27 Sept2026
Norway#4 vs Portugal#1
1-2L
24 Sept2026
Norway#4 vs Denmark#2
3-2W
12 Jul2026
Norway#4 vs England#2
1-2L
05 Jul2026
Brazil#1 vs Norway#4
1-2W
30 Jun2026
Ivory Coast#2 vs Norway#4
1-2W
26 Jun2026
Norway#4 vs France#1
1-4L
23 Jun2026
Norway#4 vs Senegal#3
3-2W
17 Jun2026
Iraq#4 vs Norway#4
1-4W
07 Jun2026
Morocco#2 vs Norway#4
1-1D
01 Jun2026
Norway#4 vs Sweden#3
3-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
12 Nov2011
Wales#3 vs Norway#4
4-1•
06 Feb2008
Wales#3 vs Norway#4
3-0•
27 May2004
Norway#4 vs Wales#3
0-0•
05 Sept2001
Norway#4 vs Wales#3
3-2•
07 Oct2000
Wales#3 vs Norway#4
1-1•
21 Sept2083
Norway#4 vs Wales#3
0-0•
22 Sept2082
Wales#3 vs Norway#4
1-0•
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