Vitoria Guimaraes vs Arouca

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Vitoria Guimaraes favourites at 66% (Arouca 14%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.84 to 0.66. It put over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 52%. Arouca won 1-0, against the model's 66% for Vitoria Guimaraes.

Key facts before the match

• Vitoria Guimaraes are unbeaten in 7 matches.
• They last met on 7 Feb 2026, when Arouca won 3-2.