Villarreal vs Napoli

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Villarreal favourites at 41% (Napoli 38%, draw 21%). Napoli come in with the better recent form (5 wins from 10 to 3), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 63%. Villarreal won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 17 Dec 2022, when Villarreal won 3-2.