Venlo vs Heracles

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Venlo favourites at 71% (Heracles 14%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.56 to 1.04 and 4 wins in Venlo's last 10 matches to 2 for Heracles. Heracles lead the head-to-head 6-4, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 62%. Heracles won 4-3, against the model's 71% for Venlo.

Key facts before the match

• Venlo have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 10 Feb 2023, when Venlo won 3-1.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.