Football · FNL · Russia
Veles Moscow vs S. Kostroma
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes S. Kostroma favourites at 45% (Veles Moscow 29%, draw 26%). That rests on 7 wins in S. Kostroma's last 10 matches to 3 for Veles Moscow and 4 wins from the last 8 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give S. Kostroma about 38% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams scoring at 45%.
Key facts
- S. Kostroma kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- Goals are scarce: only 3 of Veles Moscow's last 10 matches and 3 of S. Kostroma's had more than 2.5.
- S. Kostroma scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Veles Moscow are 6th in FNL on 27 points from 16 games; S. Kostroma are 5th on 27.
- They last met on 1 Jun 2025, when Veles Moscow won 2-1.
Russia•FNL
vs
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-2-4
Last 10 matches
1010
10/1013/7
1.001.30
1.000.70
8/1010/10
2/103/10
8/103/10
2/103/10
2/107/10
2/100/10
7/105/10
3/103/10
6/103/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Veles Moscow at homes. Kostroma away
45
1/43/5
1/40/5
2/42/5
1.251.40
1.251.00
4/45/5
1/42/5
0/40/5
3/42/5
2/42/5
1/43/5
0/40/5
2/42/5
3/42/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Veles Moscow: 0.96
Expected Goals
s. Kostroma: 1.28
Veles Moscow
29%
Draw
26%
s. Kostroma
45%
Over 2.5: 35%
BTTS: 45%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.0%
1 — Veles Moscow
2.85
Implied 32%
Edge -3.2%
X
3.10
Implied 30%
Edge -3.6%
2 — S. Kostroma
2.40
Implied 38%
Edge +6.8%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Veles Moscow · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Ulyanovsk#8 vs Veles Moscow#6
1-0L
18 Oct2026
Veles Moscow#6 vs Shinnik Yaroslavl#7
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Ural#4 vs Veles Moscow#6
1-2W
04 Oct2026
Veles Moscow#6 vs Ulyanovsk#8
1-2L
17 Sept2026
Torpedo Moscow#3 vs Veles Moscow#6
1-1D
14 Sept2026
Veles Moscow#6 vs Sochi#2
1-2L
09 Sept2026
Murom vs Veles Moscow#6
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Ufa#9 vs Veles Moscow#6
1-1D
29 Aug2026
Tekstilshtik#18 vs Veles Moscow#6
0-1W
24 Aug2026
Veles Moscow#6 vs Arsenal Tula#10
2-0W
Team 2 Form
s. Kostroma · # = league position now
26 Oct2026
Shinnik Yaroslavl#7 vs s. Kostroma#5
2-1L
17 Oct2026
s. Kostroma#5 vs Leningradets#14
2-0W
13 Oct2026
s. Kostroma#5 vs Chelyabinsk#12
1-0W
09 Oct2026
Arsenal Tula#10 vs s. Kostroma#5
3-2L
26 Sept2026
s. Kostroma#5 vs Ural#4
1-2L
18 Sept2026
Ulyanovsk#8 vs s. Kostroma#5
0-1W
14 Sept2026
s. Kostroma#5 vs Neftekhimik#16
1-0W
08 Sept2026
Ryazan vs s. Kostroma#5
0-2W
05 Sept2026
Chelyabinsk#12 vs s. Kostroma#5
0-1W
31 Aug2026
s. Kostroma#5 vs r. Volgograd#11
1-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
01 Jun2025
s. Kostroma#5 vs Veles Moscow#6
1-2•
19 Apr2025
Veles Moscow#6 vs s. Kostroma#5
0-1•
17 Nov2024
Veles Moscow#6 vs s. Kostroma#5
0-1•
21 Jul2024
s. Kostroma#5 vs Veles Moscow#6
1-1•
08 Oct2023
Veles Moscow#6 vs s. Kostroma#5
2-1•
13 Aug2023
s. Kostroma#5 vs Veles Moscow#6
0-0•
27 May2018
s. Kostroma#5 vs Veles Moscow#6
2-1•
19 Jul2017
Veles Moscow#6 vs s. Kostroma#5
1-3•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Veles Moscow
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