Vedeggio vs Lugano

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lugano favourites at 75% (Vedeggio 10%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.27 to 0.67 and 4 wins in Lugano's last 5 matches to 2 for Vedeggio. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 26%. Lugano won 10-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Lugano are unbeaten in 7 matches.