Football · Superettan · Sweden
Varberg vs Ljungskile
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Varberg favourites at 58% (Ljungskile 20%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.68 to 0.84 and Varberg sitting 4th in the table to Ljungskile's 12th. Bookmakers give Varberg about 50% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 51%.
Key facts
- Varberg are unbeaten in 5 matches.
- They last met on 30 May 2026, when Varberg won 3-1.
Sweden•Superettan
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 15:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 4-2-4
Last 10 matches
1010
17/1111/11
1.701.10
1.101.10
8/107/10
4/104/10
8/107/10
3/103/10
2/103/10
2/103/10
9/107/10
5/103/10
7/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Varberg at homeLjungskile away
46
2/41/6
1/44/6
1/41/6
1.501.17
1.251.17
2/45/6
2/42/6
2/40/6
3/44/6
2/42/6
1/42/6
2/41/6
2/42/6
2/44/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Varberg: 1.68
Expected Goals
Ljungskile: 0.84
Varberg
58%
Draw
22%
Ljungskile
20%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 51%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.9%
1 — Varberg
1.85▲
Implied 50%
Edge +8.3%
X
3.60▼
Implied 26%
Edge -3.5%
2 — Ljungskile
3.70▼
Implied 25%
Edge -4.8%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Varberg · # = league position now
27 Oct2026
Landskrona#5 vs Varberg#4
1-1D
19 Oct2026
Varberg#4 vs Helsingborg#10
0-0D
10 Oct2026
Ostersund#3 vs Varberg#4
1-1D
19 Sept2026
Varberg#4 vs Brage#15
3-2W
14 Sept2026
Norrby#14 vs Varberg#4
1-2W
10 Sept2026
Varberg#4 vs Norrkoping#1
0-2L
05 Sept2026
Varnamo#11 vs Varberg#4
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Varberg#4 vs Oddevold#6
3-1W
25 Aug2026
Orebro#13 vs Varberg#4
2-1L
18 Aug2026
Boljan vs Varberg#4
0-5W
Team 2 Form
Ljungskile · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Helsingborg#10 vs Ljungskile#12
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Ljungskile#12 vs Brage#15
2-0W
11 Oct2026
Orebro#13 vs Ljungskile#12
1-1D
20 Sept2026
Sundsvall#16 vs Ljungskile#12
3-2L
13 Sept2026
Ljungskile#12 vs Falkenberg#2
0-2L
09 Sept2026
Ljungskile#12 vs Norrby#14
2-1W
04 Sept2026
Norrkoping#1 vs Ljungskile#12
2-2D
29 Aug2026
Ljungskile#12 vs Varnamo#11
0-1L
24 Aug2026
Ostersund#3 vs Ljungskile#12
0-0D
19 Aug2026
ik Franke vs Ljungskile#12
0-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
30 May2026
Ljungskile#12 vs Varberg#4
1-3•
14 Mar2026
Varberg#4 vs Ljungskile#12
0-2•
31 Aug2022
Ljungskile#12 vs Varberg#4
0-4•
29 Oct2016
Varberg#4 vs Ljungskile#12
2-1•
27 Jun2016
Ljungskile#12 vs Varberg#4
0-1•
19 Sept2015
Ljungskile#12 vs Varberg#4
1-1•
20 May2015
Varberg#4 vs Ljungskile#12
1-1•
02 Nov2014
Ljungskile#12 vs Varberg#4
3-0•
26 Jun2014
Varberg#4 vs Ljungskile#12
1-3•
23 Sept2013
Varberg#4 vs Ljungskile#12
0-4•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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