Valencia vs Villarreal

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Villarreal favourites at 56% (Valencia 23%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.80 to 1.05 and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 54%. Villarreal won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 22 Feb 2026, when Villarreal won 2-1.