Uxbridge vs Haywards

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Uxbridge favourites at 61% (Haywards 18%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.76 to 0.83 and 5 wins in Uxbridge's last 10 matches to 1 for Haywards. It put over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 45%. Uxbridge won 3-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Uxbridge are unbeaten in 8 matches.