Uxbridge vs Farnborough

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Uxbridge favourites at 58% (Farnborough 22%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.86 to 1.03 and 6 wins in Uxbridge's last 10 matches to 4 for Farnborough. It put over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 46%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 20%.

Key facts before the match

• Farnborough have lost 3 matches in a row.