Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made AZ Alkmaar favourites at 63% (Utrecht 18%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.95 to 0.90. It put over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 55%. AZ Alkmaar won 4-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• AZ Alkmaar have won 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 1 Mar 2026, when Utrecht won 2-0.