Ukraine vs Northern Ireland

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ukraine favourites at 49% (Northern Ireland 25%, draw 26%). That rests on expected goals of 1.28 to 0.83 and 6 wins in Ukraine's last 10 matches to 4 for Northern Ireland. It put over 2.5 goals at 30% and both teams scoring at 32%. Northern Ireland won 3-0, against the model's 49% for Ukraine.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 3 Jun 2021, when Ukraine won 1-0.
• Only 0 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.