Football · Copa del Rey · Spain
Torrelavega vs UD Ourense
Thursday, 29 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes UD Ourense favourites at 39% (Torrelavega 37%, draw 24%). Bookmakers give UD Ourense about 42% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 45%.
Key facts
- Torrelavega have gone 7 matches without a win.
- UD Ourense failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away games.
- UD Ourense concede 2.2 goals a game away from home.
Spain•Copa del Rey
Torrelavega(0)
L4d
L11d
D19d
L26d
D32d
L39d
L47d
W54d
D68d
L71d
ud Ourense(0)
L5d
L11d
W19d
D26d
D32d
L40d
L47d
L54d
L61d
W71d
Thursday, 29 October 2026 at 22:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-0-0
Last 10 matches
1010
8/215/15
0.800.50
2.101.50
5/104/10
2/101/10
9/107/10
6/105/10
1/103/10
5/106/10
8/107/10
6/103/10
5/102/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Torrelavega at homeud Ourense away
65
1/60/5
1/61/5
4/64/5
0.830.40
2.332.20
4/62/5
1/60/5
0/60/5
6/65/5
4/64/5
0/60/5
2/63/5
4/62/5
4/62/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Torrelavega: 1.29
Expected Goals
ud Ourense: 1.35
Torrelavega
37%
Draw
24%
ud Ourense
39%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 45%
Quality: medium
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.0%
1 — Torrelavega
3.10▼
Implied 30%
Edge +7.1%
X
3.30▼
Implied 28%
Edge -4.1%
2 — UD Ourense
2.20▲
Implied 42%
Edge -3.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Torrelavega
25 Oct2026
Ourense cf vs Torrelavega
3-0L
18 Oct2026
Torrelavega vs Alaves b
1-5L
10 Oct2026
Sestao vs Torrelavega
0-0D
03 Oct2026
Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco
1-2L
27 Sept2026
Oviedo b vs Torrelavega
3-3D
20 Sept2026
Torrelavega vs Bergantinos
0-3L
12 Sept2026
Eibar b vs Torrelavega
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Torrelavega vs Llanera
2-1W
22 Aug2026
Torrelavega vs Derio
1-1D
19 Aug2026
Torrelavega vs Rayo Cantabria
0-2L
Team 2 Form
ud Ourense
24 Oct2026
Arenas Getxo vs ud Ourense
2-0L
18 Oct2026
Real Aviles vs ud Ourense
3-0L
10 Oct2026
ud Ourense vs Barakaldo
1-0W
03 Oct2026
r. Union vs ud Ourense
1-1D
27 Sept2026
ud Ourense vs Cacereno
0-0D
19 Sept2026
Unionistas vs ud Ourense
3-1L
12 Sept2026
ud Ourense vs ud Logrones
0-3L
05 Sept2026
Mirandes vs ud Ourense
2-0L
29 Aug2026
ud Ourense vs Ponferradina
0-1L
19 Aug2026
ud Ourense vs Barco
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
Prediction alerts
Know when the next pick goes live.
Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.
Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.