Football · Serie B · Brazil
Athletic Club vs Ceara
Tuesday, 03 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Athletic Club favourites at 44% (Ceara 32%, draw 24%). Ceara come in with the better recent form (4 wins from 10 to 2), which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Athletic Club about 40% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 53%.
Key facts
- Athletic Club have gone 7 matches without a win.
- Athletic Club are 14th in Serie B on 44 points from 35 games; Ceara are 16th on 43.
- They last met on 14 Jul 2026, when it finished 0-0.
Brazil•Serie B
vs
Tuesday, 03 November 2026 at 00:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-1-0
Last 10 matches
1010
14/1312/12
1.401.20
1.301.20
7/108/10
4/104/10
7/108/10
5/104/10
3/102/10
3/102/10
8/107/10
6/105/10
5/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Athletic Club at homeCeara away
45
1/41/5
2/42/5
1/42/5
2.251.00
1.251.20
4/44/5
2/41/5
1/40/5
3/44/5
2/42/5
1/41/5
0/41/5
3/42/5
3/43/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Athletic Club: 1.43
Expected Goals
Ceara: 1.17
Athletic Club
44%
Draw
24%
Ceara
32%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 53%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 10.6%
1 — Athletic Club
2.25▲
Implied 40%
Edge +3.8%
X
3.10▼
Implied 29%
Edge -5.2%
2 — Ceara
2.95▼
Implied 31%
Edge +1.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Athletic Club · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Operario-pr#10 vs Athletic Club#14
1-0L
18 Oct2026
Avai#17 vs Athletic Club#14
0-0D
14 Oct2026
Athletic Club#14 vs Londrina#18
2-2D
07 Oct2026
Goias#9 vs Athletic Club#14
2-1L
02 Oct2026
Athletic Club#14 vs Sport Recife#7
1-2L
28 Sept2026
Fortaleza#4 vs Athletic Club#14
2-2D
20 Sept2026
Athletic Club#14 vs Botafogo sp#12
1-1D
14 Sept2026
Juventude#2 vs Athletic Club#14
0-2W
09 Sept2026
Cuiaba#13 vs Athletic Club#14
3-0L
05 Sept2026
Athletic Club#14 vs Vila Nova fc#3
5-0W
Team 2 Form
Ceara · # = league position now
28 Oct2026
Ceara#16 vs Goias#9
0-2L
17 Oct2026
Ceara#16 vs Juventude#2
2-2D
13 Oct2026
Botafogo sp#12 vs Ceara#16
1-0L
09 Oct2026
Ceara#16 vs Criciuma#5
1-0W
03 Oct2026
Avai#17 vs Ceara#16
0-1W
26 Sept2026
Operario-pr#10 vs Ceara#16
2-2D
19 Sept2026
Ceara#16 vs Novorizontino#1
2-1W
14 Sept2026
Fortaleza#4 vs Ceara#16
1-1D
10 Sept2026
Atletico go#8 vs Ceara#16
2-1L
06 Sept2026
Ceara#16 vs Sport Recife#7
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
14 Jul2026
Ceara#16 vs Athletic Club#14
0-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Prediction alerts
Know when the next pick goes live.
Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.
Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.