Thionville vs Versailles

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Versailles favourites at 57% (Thionville 24%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.07 to 1.25 and 6 wins in Versailles's last 10 matches to 3 for Thionville. It put over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 57%. Versailles won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Thionville have gone 6 matches without a win.