Football · National League · England
Tamworth vs Scunthorpe
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Tamworth favourites at 40% (Scunthorpe 37%, draw 23%). That rests on Tamworth sitting 18th in the table to Scunthorpe's 22nd. Scunthorpe lead the head-to-head 3-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Tamworth about 44% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 64%.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Tamworth's last 10 matches and 7 of Scunthorpe's.
- Tamworth scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Tamworth have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- Scunthorpe failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away games.
- They last met on 6 Dec 2025, when Scunthorpe won 3-1.
England•National League
vs
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 1-0-3
Last 10 matches
1010
12/1916/16
1.201.60
1.901.60
10/107/10
2/106/10
7/109/10
6/105/10
3/101/10
0/103/10
8/109/10
7/107/10
7/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Tamworth at homeScunthorpe away
55
3/52/5
0/50/5
2/53/5
1.401.00
1.201.40
5/52/5
2/52/5
0/51/5
3/54/5
2/52/5
2/51/5
0/53/5
3/52/5
3/51/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Tamworth: 1.47
Expected Goals
Scunthorpe: 1.38
Tamworth
40%
Draw
23%
Scunthorpe
37%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.1%
1 — Tamworth
2.10
Implied 44%
Edge -3.6%
X
3.70
Implied 25%
Edge -1.8%
2 — Scunthorpe
2.90▲
Implied 32%
Edge +5.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Tamworth · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Carlisle#14 vs Tamworth#18
2-1L
10 Oct2026
Tamworth#18 vs Barrow#8
1-2L
06 Oct2026
Tamworth#18 vs Leeds U21#3
1-0W
03 Oct2026
Hartlepool#21 vs Tamworth#18
0-1W
30 Sept2026
Tamworth#18 vs Sutton#12
2-0W
26 Sept2026
Aldershot#13 vs Tamworth#18
5-1L
19 Sept2026
Tamworth#18 vs Wealdstone#20
2-1W
15 Sept2026
Southend#3 vs Tamworth#18
3-1L
12 Sept2026
Harrogate#2 vs Tamworth#18
3-1L
09 Sept2026
Tamworth#18 vs Middlesbrough U21
1-3L
Team 2 Form
Scunthorpe · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Scunthorpe#22 vs Woking#16
2-3L
17 Oct2026
Boston Utd#19 vs Scunthorpe#22
1-3W
13 Oct2026
Scunthorpe#22 vs Derby U21
2-2D
10 Oct2026
Afc Fylde#7 vs Scunthorpe#22
2-0L
29 Sept2026
Barrow#8 vs Scunthorpe#22
3-0L
26 Sept2026
Scunthorpe#22 vs Hartlepool#21
4-1W
19 Sept2026
Hornchurch#9 vs Scunthorpe#22
1-0L
16 Sept2026
Scunthorpe#22 vs Boreham Wood#1
1-2L
12 Sept2026
Sutton#12 vs Scunthorpe#22
0-2W
08 Sept2026
Scunthorpe#22 vs Nottingham U21#3
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
06 Dec2025
Scunthorpe#22 vs Tamworth#18
3-1•
09 Aug2025
Tamworth#18 vs Scunthorpe#22
1-2•
30 Jan2024
Scunthorpe#22 vs Tamworth#18
0-1•
05 Aug2023
Tamworth#18 vs Scunthorpe#22
1-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Tamworth
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