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Football · Serie B · Italy

Carrarese vs Arezzo

Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Carrarese favourites at 41% (Arezzo 33%, draw 26%). Bookmakers give Carrarese about 42% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 52%.

Key facts

  • Carrarese are 17th in Serie B on 7 points from 8 games; Arezzo are 10th on 10.
  • Arezzo failed to score in 3 of their last 6 away games.
  • They last met on 14 Jan 2024, when Arezzo won 3-2.
  • 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
Italy•Serie B
Rank 17 · 7 pts
L2d
W10d
W16d
L38d
L45d
L52d
D59d
L66d
L73d
W80d
3W · 1D · 6L
vs
Rank 10 · 10 pts
L3d
W9d
D17d
L30d
L37d
W46d
L51d
L58d
W66d
L74d
3W · 1D · 6L
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 3-3-4
Last 10 matches
1010
8/108/20
0.800.80
1.002.00
6/105/10
2/103/10
8/108/10
2/105/10
2/102/10
4/105/10
5/107/10
3/106/10
4/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Carrarese at homeArezzo away
46
1/43/6
0/40/6
3/43/6
0.750.83
1.251.67
2/43/6
1/42/6
0/40/6
4/45/6
1/42/6
0/41/6
2/43/6
2/43/6
2/42/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Carrarese: 1.23
Expected Goals
Arezzo: 1.05
Carrarese
41%
Draw
26%
Arezzo
33%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 52%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.0%
1 — Carrarese
2.20▼
Implied 42%
Edge -1.1%
X
3.30▲
Implied 28%
Edge -2.1%
2 — Arezzo
3.10
Implied 30%
Edge +3.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Carrarese · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Palermo#1 vs Carrarese#17
2-1L
17 Oct2026
Carrarese#17 vs Modena#3
2-1W
11 Oct2026
Padova#9 vs Carrarese#17
0-2W
19 Sept2026
Carrarese#17 vs Benevento#5
0-1L
12 Sept2026
Catanzaro#20 vs Carrarese#17
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Carrarese#17 vs Empoli#16
0-1L
29 Aug2026
Ascoli#4 vs Carrarese#17
1-1D
22 Aug2026
Carrarese#17 vs Mantova#2
1-2L
15 Aug2026
Torino#8 vs Carrarese#17
1-0L
08 Aug2026
Entella#12 vs Carrarese#17
0-1W
Team 2 Form
Arezzo · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Arezzo#10 vs Benevento#5
0-3L
18 Oct2026
Sampdoria#19 vs Arezzo#10
1-2W
10 Oct2026
Arezzo#10 vs Cremonese#18
0-0D
27 Sept2026
Lazio#2 vs Arezzo#10
2-0L
20 Sept2026
Arezzo#10 vs Sudtirol#7
1-4L
11 Sept2026
Empoli#16 vs Arezzo#10
0-1W
06 Sept2026
Verona#11 vs Arezzo#10
5-0L
30 Aug2026
Arezzo#10 vs Palermo#1
2-3L
22 Aug2026
Avellino#8 vs Arezzo#10
1-2W
14 Aug2026
Cagliari#9 vs Arezzo#10
1-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
14 Jan2024
Carrarese#17 vs Arezzo#10
2-3•
09 Sept2023
Arezzo#10 vs Carrarese#17
1-3•
13 Aug2022
Carrarese#17 vs Arezzo#10
3-1•
17 Nov2019
Carrarese#17 vs Arezzo#10
2-2•
16 Mar2019
Carrarese#17 vs Arezzo#10
3-0•
19 Nov2018
Arezzo#10 vs Carrarese#17
2-2•
05 May2018
Carrarese#17 vs Arezzo#10
0-1•
17 Dec2017
Arezzo#10 vs Carrarese#17
1-1•
30 Dec2016
Arezzo#10 vs Carrarese#17
2-1•
04 Sept2016
Carrarese#17 vs Arezzo#10
1-3•

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