Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe
Sweden vs Poland
Monday, 28 September 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Sweden3-1Poland
- 1ST HALF
- 1-1
- 2ND HALF
- 2-0
Prediction and result
Before kickoff, the model made Sweden favourites at 43% (Poland 37%, draw 20%). That rests on 5 wins from the last 6 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 67%. Sweden won 3-1, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- They last met on 31 Mar 2026, when Sweden won 3-2.
Europe•UEFA Nations League
Sweden(8)
W31d
L117d
D122d
L128d
W133d
D144d
L147d
W209d
W214d
D342d
Poland(1)
D31d
D145d
L148d
L209d
W214d
W343d
D346d
W379d
W382d
W414d
Monday, 28 September 2026 at 21:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Sweden3-1Poland
- 1ST HALF
- 1-1
- 2ND HALF
- 2-0
H2H: 8-1-1
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Sweden at homePoland away
53
3/52/3
2/50/3
0/51/3
2.602.33
1.401.67
5/53/3
4/53/3
2/51/3
5/52/3
2/52/3
0/51/3
0/50/3
4/52/3
5/52/3
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Sweden: 1.88
Expected Goals
Poland: 1.73
Sweden
43%
Draw
20%
Poland
37%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 67%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Sweden · # = league position now
25 Sept2026
Sweden#3 vs Romania#1
2-1W
01 Jul2026
France#1 vs Sweden#3
3-0L
26 Jun2026
Japan#2 vs Sweden#3
1-1D
20 Jun2026
Netherlands#1 vs Sweden#3
5-1L
15 Jun2026
Sweden#3 vs Tunisia#4
5-1W
04 Jun2026
Sweden#3 vs Greece#2
2-2D
01 Jun2026
Norway#4 vs Sweden#3
3-1L
31 Mar2026
Sweden#3 vs Poland#4
3-2W
26 Mar2026
Ukraine#4 vs Sweden#3
1-3W
18 Nov2025
Sweden#3 vs Slovenia#3
1-1D
Team 2 Form
Poland · # = league position now
25 Sept2026
Poland#4 vs Bosnia & Herzegovina#3
0-0D
03 Jun2026
Poland#4 vs Nigeria#2
2-2D
31 May2026
Poland#4 vs Ukraine#4
0-2L
31 Mar2026
Sweden#3 vs Poland#4
3-2L
26 Mar2026
Poland#4 vs Albania#4
2-1W
17 Nov2025
Malta vs Poland#4
2-3W
14 Nov2025
Poland#4 vs Netherlands#1
1-1D
12 Oct2025
Lithuania vs Poland#4
0-2W
09 Oct2025
Poland#4 vs New Zealand#4
1-0W
07 Sept2025
Poland#4 vs Finland
3-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
31 Mar2026
Sweden#3 vs Poland#4
3-2•
29 Mar2022
Poland#4 vs Sweden#3
2-0•
23 Jun2021
Sweden#3 vs Poland#4
3-2•
05 Jun2004
Sweden#3 vs Poland#4
3-1•
10 Sept2003
Poland#4 vs Sweden#3
0-2•
11 Jun2003
Sweden#3 vs Poland#4
3-0•
09 Oct2099
Sweden#3 vs Poland#4
2-0•
31 Mar2099
Poland#4 vs Sweden#3
0-1•
22 May2097
Sweden#3 vs Poland#4
2-2•
07 May2092
Sweden#3 vs Poland#4
5-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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