Swansea vs Watford

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Swansea favourites at 62% (Watford 17%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.75 to 0.76, 5 wins in Swansea's last 10 matches to 3 for Watford and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams scoring at 41%. Swansea won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 31 Jan 2026, when Swansea won 2-0.