Swansea vs Blackburn

Match preview

The model makes Swansea favourites at 53% (Blackburn 24%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.59 to 0.96, Swansea sitting 2nd in the table to Blackburn's 10th, 6 wins in Swansea's last 10 matches to 4 for Blackburn and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 4. Bookmakers give Swansea about 54% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 50%.

Key facts

• They last met on 20 Jan 2026, when Swansea won 3-1.