Sunderland vs Brighton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Brighton favourites at 79% (Sunderland 8%, draw 13%). That rests on expected goals of 2.47 to 0.61, 7 wins in Brighton's last 10 matches to 5 for Sunderland and 3 wins from the last 6 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 39%. Brighton won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Brighton have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 14 Mar 2026, when Brighton won 1-0.
• Only 1 of the last 6 meetings had three or more goals.