Sumqayit vs Qarabag

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Qarabag favourites at 63% (Sumqayit 17%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.87 to 0.82, 5 wins in Qarabag's last 10 matches to 3 for Sumqayit and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 42%. Qarabag won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Sumqayit have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 22 May 2026, when Qarabag won 4-3.