Stranraer vs Dumbarton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Stranraer favourites at 76% (Dumbarton 10%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.53 to 0.76. Dumbarton lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 48%. Stranraer won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 4 Apr 2026, when it finished 1-1.