Stoke (ENG) vs Valencia (ESP)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Valencia (ESP) favourites at 50% (Stoke (ENG) 28%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.66 to 1.17 and 6 wins in Valencia (ESP)'s last 10 matches to 2 for Stoke (ENG). It put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 55%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 22%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 23 Feb 2012, when Valencia (ESP) won 1-0.