Football · 2. Liga · Austria
St. Polten vs Hertha Wels
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes St. Polten favourites at 49% (Hertha Wels 28%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.55 to 1.09. Bookmakers give St. Polten about 54% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 55%.
Key facts
- Hertha Wels scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- St. Polten are 12th in 2. Liga on 11 points from 10 games; Hertha Wels are 14th on 8.
- They last met on 14 May 2026, when St. Polten won 1-0.
Austria•2. Liga
vs
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 1-2-0
Last 10 matches
1010
8/1214/22
0.801.40
1.202.20
5/1010/10
2/103/10
8/107/10
2/106/10
2/103/10
5/100/10
5/107/10
4/106/10
4/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
St. Polten at homeHertha Wels away
64
2/61/4
1/62/4
3/61/4
0.501.25
1.001.75
2/64/4
1/61/4
0/60/4
4/63/4
1/62/4
2/61/4
4/60/4
2/62/4
1/63/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
St. Polten: 1.55
Expected Goals
Hertha Wels: 1.09
St. Polten
49%
Draw
23%
Hertha Wels
28%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 55%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.9%
1 — St. Polten
1.70▼
Implied 54%
Edge -5.0%
X
3.90▲
Implied 24%
Edge -0.6%
2 — Hertha Wels
4.10▲
Implied 22%
Edge +5.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
St. Polten · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Kapfenberg#15 vs St. Polten#12
1-1D
16 Oct2026
St. Polten#12 vs sk Rapid ii#16
0-0D
09 Oct2026
First Vienna#2 vs St. Polten#12
3-1L
19 Sept2026
St. Polten#12 vs Bregenz#11
2-1W
13 Sept2026
Liefering#8 vs St. Polten#12
1-3W
06 Sept2026
St. Polten#12 vs Salzburg#2
0-3L
28 Aug2026
St. Polten#12 vs a. Salzburg#6
1-0W
21 Aug2026
Wacker Innsbruck#7 vs St. Polten#12
1-0L
14 Aug2026
St. Polten#12 vs bw Linz#1
0-1L
07 Aug2026
St. Polten#12 vs Austria Vienna (am)#3
0-1L
Team 2 Form
Hertha Wels · # = league position now
27 Oct2026
Hertha Wels#14 vs Wolfsberger ac#12
1-0W
23 Oct2026
Hertha Wels#14 vs Ask Voitsberg#10
2-6L
16 Oct2026
Austria Vienna (am)#3 vs Hertha Wels#14
2-2D
10 Oct2026
Hertha Wels#14 vs Bregenz#11
1-0W
02 Oct2026
Hertha Wels#14 vs a. Salzburg#6
3-3D
18 Sept2026
Hertha Wels#14 vs First Vienna#2
1-3L
12 Sept2026
bw Linz#1 vs Hertha Wels#14
4-1L
04 Sept2026
Kapfenberg#15 vs Hertha Wels#14
0-1W
28 Aug2026
Hertha Wels#14 vs Admira#4
1-3L
21 Aug2026
Amstetten#5 vs Hertha Wels#14
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
14 May2026
St. Polten#12 vs Hertha Wels#14
1-0•
28 Nov2025
Hertha Wels#14 vs St. Polten#12
1-1•
26 Aug2025
Hertha Wels#14 vs St. Polten#12
2-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
St. Polten
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