Sporting CP (POR) vs Nottingham (ENG)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Sporting CP (POR) favourites at 61% (Nottingham (ENG) 21%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.24 to 1.23 and 6 wins in Sporting CP (POR)'s last 9 matches to 4 for Nottingham (ENG). It put over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 62%. Sporting CP (POR) won 4-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Sporting CP (POR) have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 11 Jul 2009, when Nottingham (ENG) won 1-0.