Sport Recife vs America MG

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Sport Recife favourites at 70% (America MG 12%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 1.96 to 0.61. America MG lead the head-to-head 5-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 48%. Sport Recife won 3-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• America MG have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 19 Apr 2026, when it finished 0-0.