Spartak Varna vs Lok. Plovdiv

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Spartak Varna favourites at 60% (Lok. Plovdiv 19%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.76 to 0.87. Lok. Plovdiv lead the head-to-head 5-3, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 48%. Spartak Varna won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 21 Feb 2026, when it finished 1-1.