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Match Intelligence

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Football · Chance Liga · Czech Republic

Sparta Prague vs Slovacko

Sunday, 25 October 2026

Match preview

The model makes Sparta Prague favourites at 73% (Slovacko 11%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.23 to 0.71, Sparta Prague sitting 5th in the table to Slovacko's 15th, 6 wins in Sparta Prague's last 10 matches to 3 for Slovacko and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give Sparta Prague about 73% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 51%.

Key facts

Sparta Prague kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
They last met on 15 Mar 2026, when Sparta Prague won 5-2.

Czech Republic•Chance Liga

Sparta Prague(6)

Rank 5 · 19 pts

L2d

D6d

D9d

W13d

W22d

W34d

W38d

W42d

W45d

L48d

6W · 2D · 2L

Slovacko(0)

Rank 15 · 7 pts

L6d

W13d

D35d

W38d

L42d

D49d

D55d

W59d

L63d

L70d

3W · 3D · 4L

Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:00

H2H: 6-4-0

Last 10 matches

1010

23/814/12

2.301.40

0.801.20

8/108/10

6/104/10

5/107/10

2/105/10

5/103/10

2/102/10

8/109/10

5/106/10

4/106/10

Home & away form · from last 10 matches

Sparta Prague at homeSlovacko away

3/43/6

1/41/6

0/42/6

2.501.67

1.001.00

4/45/6

3/43/6

1/41/6

2/44/6

1/42/6

2/42/6

0/41/6

1/43/6

2/43/6

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Sparta Prague: 2.23

Expected Goals

Slovacko: 0.71

Sparta Prague

73%

Draw

16%

Slovacko

11%

Over 2.5: 58%

BTTS: 51%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Vig 7.6%

1 — Sparta Prague

1.28▲

Implied 73%

Edge +0.4%

5.60

Implied 17%

Edge -0.6%

2 — Slovacko

8.60

Implied 11%

Edge +0.2%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.

Team 1 Form

Sparta Prague · # = league position now

22 Oct2026

Olympiacos Piraeus#2 vs Sparta Prague#5

1-0L

18 Oct2026

Ostrava#13 vs Sparta Prague#5

0-0D

15 Oct2026

Sparta Prague#5 vs Lillestrom#6

1-1D

11 Oct2026

Sparta Prague#5 vs fk Pardubice#12

2-0W

02 Oct2026

Sparta Prague#5 vs Jihlava

5-3W

20 Sept2026

Sigma Olomouc#4 vs Sparta Prague#5

0-3W

16 Sept2026

Ararat-armenia#36 vs Sparta Prague#5

1-4W

12 Sept2026

Sparta Prague#5 vs Jablonec#7

2-0W

09 Sept2026

Zizkov vs Sparta Prague#5

0-5W

06 Sept2026

Hradec Kralove#11 vs Sparta Prague#5

2-1L

Team 2 Form

Slovacko · # = league position now

18 Oct2026

Slovacko#15 vs Brno#6

1-2L

11 Oct2026

Liberec#2 vs Slovacko#15

0-2W

19 Sept2026

Slovacko#15 vs Ostrava#13

2-2D

16 Sept2026

Neratovice vs Slovacko#15

0-4W

12 Sept2026

Bohemians#10 vs Slovacko#15

2-0L

05 Sept2026

Slovacko#15 vs fk Pardubice#12

0-0D

30 Aug2026

Plzen#9 vs Slovacko#15

1-1D

26 Aug2026

Velka Bites vs Slovacko#15

1-2W

22 Aug2026

Mlada Boleslav#3 vs Slovacko#15

2-1L

15 Aug2026

Slovacko#15 vs Sigma Olomouc#4

1-2L

Head-to-Head

Last 10 · # = league position now

15 Mar2026

Sparta Prague#5 vs Slovacko#15

5-2•

19 Oct2025