Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Sparta Prague favourites at 72% (Lillestrom 13%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.59 to 0.99 and 8 wins in Sparta Prague's last 10 matches to 5 for Lillestrom. It put over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 54%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 15%.

Key facts before the match

• Sparta Prague have won 6 matches in a row.