Spain vs Czech Republic

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Spain favourites at 67% (Czech Republic 15%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.09 to 0.85, 9 wins in Spain's last 10 matches to 3 for Czech Republic and 4 wins from the last 5 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 45%. Spain won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Spain have won 9 matches in a row.
• Czech Republic have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 12 Jun 2022, when Spain won 2-0.