Southampton vs Swansea

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Swansea favourites at 55% (Southampton 25%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.89 to 1.21. Southampton lead the head-to-head 7-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 48%. Southampton won 3-1, against the model's 55% for Swansea.

Key facts before the match

• Swansea are unbeaten in 5 matches.
• They last met on 18 Apr 2026, when Southampton won 2-1.