Slovakia vs Moldova

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Slovakia favourites at 67% (Moldova 17%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.55 to 1.20 and 6 wins in Slovakia's last 10 matches to 0 for Moldova. It put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 52%. Slovakia won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Moldova have gone 10 matches without a win.
• They last met on 5 Sept 2001, when Slovakia won 4-2.