Slovakia vs Kazakhstan

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Slovakia favourites at 52% (Kazakhstan 26%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.72 to 1.14 and 6 wins in Slovakia's last 10 matches to 3 for Kazakhstan. It put over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 49%. Slovakia won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 13 Jun 2022, when Kazakhstan won 2-1.