Shamakhi vs Safa Baku

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Shamakhi favourites at 76% (Safa Baku 7%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 1.92 to 0.38 and 3 wins from the last 4 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 30%. Shamakhi won 3-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Shamakhi are unbeaten in 6 matches.
• Safa Baku have lost 5 matches in a row.
• They last met on 10 May 2005, when Shamakhi won 3-0.