Shamakhi vs Araz

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Shamakhi favourites at 61% (Araz 20%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.02 to 1.05. Araz lead the head-to-head 5-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 50%. Shamakhi won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Araz have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 18 Mar 2026, when Araz won 1-0.
• Only 1 of the last 8 meetings had three or more goals.