Sevilla vs Valencia

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Sevilla favourites at 57% (Valencia 22%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.75 to 0.96 and 5 wins in Sevilla's last 10 matches to 2 for Valencia. It put over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 53%. Sevilla won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Valencia have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 21 Mar 2026, when Valencia won 2-0.
• Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.