Football · K League 1 · South Korea
Seoul vs Incheon
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Seoul favourites at 55% (Incheon 21%, draw 24%). That rests on expected goals of 1.52 to 0.82, Seoul sitting 1st in the table to Incheon's 6th and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Seoul about 54% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 48%.
Key facts
- Incheon are unbeaten in 5 matches.
- They last met on 5 Sept 2026, when Seoul won 1-0.
South Korea•K League 1
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 10:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 6-2-2
Last 10 matches
1010
14/1413/10
1.401.30
1.401.00
7/108/10
4/103/10
9/108/10
4/102/10
1/102/10
3/102/10
7/108/10
6/105/10
6/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Seoul at homeIncheon away
55
2/50/5
2/52/5
1/53/5
1.200.60
1.001.20
4/53/5
2/50/5
0/50/5
4/54/5
1/52/5
1/51/5
1/52/5
2/52/5
3/53/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Seoul: 1.52
Expected Goals
Incheon: 0.82
Seoul
55%
Draw
24%
Incheon
21%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 48%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.1%
1 — Seoul
1.70▼
Implied 54%
Edge +1.1%
X
3.70
Implied 25%
Edge -0.8%
2 — Incheon
4.30▲
Implied 21%
Edge -0.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Seoul · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Seoul#1 vs Gangwon#5
1-1D
18 Oct2026
Seoul#1 vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2-2D
14 Oct2026
Melbourne Victory#8 vs Seoul#1
3-0L
10 Oct2026
Seoul#1 vs Jeju sk
2-1W
20 Sept2026
Pohang vs Seoul#1
2-1L
16 Sept2026
Seoul#1 vs Persib Bandung#4
0-1L
12 Sept2026
Jeonbuk#4 vs Seoul#1
1-2W
08 Sept2026
Ulsan hd#2 vs Seoul#1
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Seoul#1 vs Incheon#6
1-0W
30 Aug2026
Gwangju fc vs Seoul#1
2-5W
Team 2 Form
Incheon · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Incheon#6 vs Jeju sk
3-1W
18 Oct2026
Gangwon#5 vs Incheon#6
1-1D
09 Oct2026
Incheon#6 vs Pohang
3-0W
27 Sept2026
Gangwon#5 vs Incheon#6
0-0D
20 Sept2026
Incheon#6 vs Daejeon#3
1-1D
12 Sept2026
Ulsan hd#2 vs Incheon#6
2-1L
08 Sept2026
Incheon#6 vs Bucheon fc 1995
2-1W
05 Sept2026
Seoul#1 vs Incheon#6
1-0L
30 Aug2026
Incheon#6 vs Jeonbuk#4
1-1D
26 Aug2026
Anyang vs Incheon#6
2-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
05 Sept2026
Seoul#1 vs Incheon#6
1-0•
05 Jul2026
Seoul#1 vs Incheon#6
1-0•
28 Feb2026
Incheon#6 vs Seoul#1
1-2•
27 Jul2024
Incheon#6 vs Seoul#1
0-1•
11 May2024
Incheon#6 vs Seoul#1
1-2•
10 Mar2024
Seoul#1 vs Incheon#6
0-0•
22 Jul2023
Seoul#1 vs Incheon#6
0-1•
07 Jun2023
Incheon#6 vs Seoul#1
1-1•
25 Feb2023
Seoul#1 vs Incheon#6
2-1•
27 Aug2022
Incheon#6 vs Seoul#1
2-0•
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