Scunthorpe vs Harrogate

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Harrogate favourites at 59% (Scunthorpe 23%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.21 to 1.29 and 7 wins in Harrogate's last 10 matches to 3 for Scunthorpe. It put over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 71%. Harrogate won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 26 Mar 2022, when Harrogate won 3-0.
• 4 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.