Football · Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo vs Lazio
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Lazio favourites at 78% (Sassuolo 8%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.36 to 0.57, Lazio sitting 2nd in the table to Sassuolo's 13th, 7 wins in Lazio's last 10 matches to 3 for Sassuolo and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Bookmakers give Lazio about 40% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 43%.
Key facts
- Lazio are unbeaten in 9 matches.
- Sassuolo have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- Lazio kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 9 Mar 2026, when Lazio won 2-1.
Italy•Serie A
vs
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 20:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-2-5
Last 10 matches
1010
16/1719/9
1.601.90
1.700.90
9/109/10
5/107/10
9/105/10
6/103/10
1/105/10
1/101/10
10/108/10
7/105/10
8/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Sassuolo at homeLazio away
54
3/54/4
2/50/4
0/50/4
2.002.00
1.000.25
5/54/4
3/53/4
2/51/4
4/51/4
1/50/4
1/53/4
0/50/4
3/52/4
4/51/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Sassuolo: 0.57
Expected Goals
Lazio: 2.36
Sassuolo
8%
Draw
14%
Lazio
78%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 43%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.2%
1 — Sassuolo
2.85▲
Implied 33%
Edge -25.0%
X
3.50
Implied 27%
Edge -12.9%
2 — Lazio
2.35▼
Implied 40%
Edge +37.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Sassuolo · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Como#5 vs Sassuolo#13
2-0L
16 Oct2026
Frosinone#6 vs Sassuolo#13
4-2L
11 Oct2026
Sassuolo#13 vs ac Milan#4
1-1D
18 Sept2026
Monza#14 vs Sassuolo#13
2-1L
13 Sept2026
Sassuolo#13 vs Juventus#9
3-2W
06 Sept2026
Bologna#15 vs Sassuolo#13
2-2D
02 Sept2026
Sassuolo#13 vs Frosinone#6
1-1D
29 Aug2026
Sassuolo#13 vs Torino#8
2-1W
23 Aug2026
Atalanta#11 vs Sassuolo#13
2-1L
17 Aug2026
Sassuolo#13 vs Cesena#13
3-0W
Team 2 Form
Lazio · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Juventus#9 vs Lazio#2
0-3W
11 Oct2026
Lazio#2 vs Monza#14
3-1W
03 Oct2026
Lazio#2 vs Juve Stabia#18
3-3D
27 Sept2026
Lazio#2 vs Arezzo#9
2-0W
19 Sept2026
Venezia#20 vs Lazio#2
0-2W
12 Sept2026
Lazio#2 vs ac Milan#4
2-2D
07 Sept2026
Udinese#16 vs Lazio#2
1-2W
30 Aug2026
Lazio#2 vs Genoa#17
1-0W
24 Aug2026
Bologna#15 vs Lazio#2
0-1W
16 Aug2026
Lazio#2 vs Mantova#2
0-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
09 Mar2026
Lazio#2 vs Sassuolo#13
2-1•
14 Sept2025
Sassuolo#13 vs Lazio#2
1-0•
26 May2024
Lazio#2 vs Sassuolo#13
1-1•
21 Oct2023
Sassuolo#13 vs Lazio#2
0-2•
03 May2023
Lazio#2 vs Sassuolo#13
2-0•
15 Jan2023
Sassuolo#13 vs Lazio#2
0-2•
02 Apr2022
Lazio#2 vs Sassuolo#13
2-1•
12 Dec2021
Sassuolo#13 vs Lazio#2
2-1•
14 Aug2021
Lazio#2 vs Sassuolo#13
1-1•
23 May2021
Sassuolo#13 vs Lazio#2
2-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Sassuolo
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