Football · Serie B · Brazil
Sao Bernardo vs Athletic Club
Friday, 13 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Sao Bernardo favourites at 48% (Athletic Club 29%, draw 23%). That rests on 5 wins in Sao Bernardo's last 10 matches to 2 for Athletic Club. Bookmakers give Sao Bernardo about 49% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 57%.
Key facts
- Sao Bernardo are 11th in Serie B on 52 points from 37 games; Athletic Club are 14th on 47.
- They last met on 24 Jul 2026, when Athletic Club won 2-1.
Brazil•Serie B
vs
Friday, 13 November 2026 at 02:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 1-0-1
Last 10 matches
1010
15/1113/14
1.501.30
1.101.40
8/108/10
5/105/10
7/108/10
4/105/10
3/102/10
2/102/10
7/108/10
6/106/10
6/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Sao Bernardo at homeAthletic Club away
45
3/41/5
0/42/5
1/42/5
1.751.00
1.001.00
3/43/5
2/42/5
2/40/5
3/43/5
1/42/5
1/42/5
1/42/5
2/42/5
2/42/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Sao Bernardo: 1.48
Expected Goals
Athletic Club: 1.09
Sao Bernardo
48%
Draw
23%
Athletic Club
29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 57%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.4%
1 — Sao Bernardo
1.90▲
Implied 49%
Edge -0.6%
X
3.40▲
Implied 27%
Edge -4.1%
2 — Athletic Club
3.80
Implied 24%
Edge +4.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Sao Bernardo · # = league position now
07 Nov2026
Avai#17 vs Sao Bernardo#11
2-1L
02 Nov2026
Cuiaba#13 vs Sao Bernardo#11
1-2W
24 Oct2026
Sao Bernardo#11 vs Vila Nova fc#3
3-2W
18 Oct2026
Sao Bernardo#11 vs Criciuma#4
0-1L
11 Oct2026
Juventude#2 vs Sao Bernardo#11
2-2D
07 Oct2026
Sport Recife#9 vs Sao Bernardo#11
2-1L
03 Oct2026
Sao Bernardo#11 vs Crb#6
3-1W
26 Sept2026
Novorizontino#1 vs Sao Bernardo#11
0-0D
19 Sept2026
Sao Bernardo#11 vs Atletico go#8
1-0W
15 Sept2026
America mg#19 vs Sao Bernardo#11
0-2W
Team 2 Form
Athletic Club · # = league position now
08 Nov2026
Athletic Club#14 vs Atletico go#8
2-3L
03 Nov2026
Athletic Club#14 vs Ceara#16
2-1W
24 Oct2026
Operario-pr#10 vs Athletic Club#14
1-0L
18 Oct2026
Avai#17 vs Athletic Club#14
0-0D
14 Oct2026
Athletic Club#14 vs Londrina#18
2-2D
07 Oct2026
Goias#7 vs Athletic Club#14
2-1L
02 Oct2026
Athletic Club#14 vs Sport Recife#9
1-2L
28 Sept2026
Fortaleza#5 vs Athletic Club#14
2-2D
20 Sept2026
Athletic Club#14 vs Botafogo sp#12
1-1D
14 Sept2026
Juventude#2 vs Athletic Club#14
0-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
24 Jul2026
Athletic Club#14 vs Sao Bernardo#11
2-1•
30 Jun2024
Athletic Club#14 vs Sao Bernardo#11
1-4•
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