Sanjoanense vs Nacional

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Sanjoanense favourites at 58% (Nacional 21%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.78 to 0.95 and 4 wins in Sanjoanense's last 10 matches to 1 for Nacional. It put over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 49%. Sanjoanense won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Nacional have lost 6 matches in a row.