Salgueiros vs Feirense

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Salgueiros favourites at 49% (Feirense 23%, draw 28%). That rests on expected goals of 1.22 to 0.72 and 4 wins in Salgueiros's last 10 matches to 1 for Feirense. It put over 2.5 goals at 27% and both teams scoring at 36%. Salgueiros won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Salgueiros are unbeaten in 7 matches.
• Feirense have lost 5 matches in a row.
• They last met on 15 Feb 2004, when Salgueiros won 1-0.