Safa Baku vs Turan Tovuz

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Turan Tovuz favourites at 74% (Safa Baku 7%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.75 to 0.34 and 4 wins in Turan Tovuz's last 10 matches to 2 for Safa Baku. It put over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 25%. Turan Tovuz won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Safa Baku have lost 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 28 Feb 2005, when Turan Tovuz won 3-0.