Safa Baku vs Kapaz

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Kapaz favourites at 76% (Safa Baku 5%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.75 to 0.23, 4 wins in Kapaz's last 10 matches to 2 for Safa Baku and 3 wins from the last 4 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 34% and both teams scoring at 22%. Kapaz won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Safa Baku have lost 6 matches in a row.
• They last met on 23 Feb 2005, when Kapaz won 3-0.