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Football · Liga Portugal · Portugal

Rio Ave vs Nacional

Sunday, 11 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Rio Ave3-2Nacional
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
2-1

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Rio Ave favourites at 47% (Nacional 32%, draw 21%). That rests on 3 wins in Rio Ave's last 10 matches to 1 for Nacional and 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 55%. Rio Ave won 3-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Nacional have lost 5 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 25 Jan 2026, when Nacional won 4-0.
Portugal•Liga Portugal
L49d
D54d
L62d
L71d
W77d
L84d
L90d
W98d
W107d
D111d
3W · 2D · 5L
vs
L49d
L56d
L63d
L69d
L76d
W83d
D89d
L98d
L107d
D108d
1W · 2D · 7L
Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 17:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Rio Ave3-2Nacional
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
2-1
H2H: 4-4-2
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Rio Ave at homeNacional away
65
2/60/5
2/61/5
2/64/5
2.170.40
2.331.60
4/61/5
4/61/5
3/60/5
6/65/5
5/63/5
0/60/5
2/64/5
5/61/5
4/61/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Rio Ave: 1.74
Expected Goals
Nacional: 1.39
Rio Ave
47%
Draw
21%
Nacional
32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Rio Ave · # = league position now
19 Sept2026
Alverca#10 vs Rio Ave#16
1-0L
14 Sept2026
Rio Ave#16 vs Estrela#12
3-3D
06 Sept2026
Santa Clara#4 vs Rio Ave#16
4-0L
28 Aug2026
Rio Ave#16 vs Sporting cp#3
0-4L
22 Aug2026
Estoril#18 vs Rio Ave#16
0-2W
15 Aug2026
Rio Ave#16 vs fc Porto#1
0-2L
09 Aug2026
Gil Vicente#7 vs Rio Ave#16
1-0L
01 Aug2026
Rio Ave#16 vs Tondela
3-1W
23 Jul2026
Rio Ave#16 vs Nottingham 2
5-2W
19 Jul2026
Rio Ave#16 vs al Ahli sc#6
2-2D
Team 2 Form
Nacional · # = league position now
19 Sept2026
Nacional#15 vs Famalicao#11
0-4L
12 Sept2026
Nacional#15 vs Alverca#10
1-3L
05 Sept2026
Sporting cp#3 vs Nacional#15
2-0L
30 Aug2026
Nacional#15 vs Estrela#12
2-3L
23 Aug2026
Vitoria Guimaraes#13 vs Nacional#15
1-0L
16 Aug2026
Nacional#15 vs Estoril#18
2-0W
10 Aug2026
Santa Clara#4 vs Nacional#15
2-2D
01 Aug2026
Maritimo#14 vs Nacional#15
1-0L
23 Jul2026
Estrela#12 vs Nacional#15
2-0L
22 Jul2026
Nacional#15 vs Leganes#17
0-0D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
25 Jan2026
Nacional#15 vs Rio Ave#16
4-0•
17 Aug2025
Rio Ave#16 vs Nacional#15
1-1•
10 May2025
Nacional#15 vs Rio Ave#16
3-3•
29 Dec2024
Rio Ave#16 vs Nacional#15
2-1•
31 Jul2024
Rio Ave#16 vs Nacional#15
1-1•
10 Apr2022
Nacional#15 vs Rio Ave#16
2-0•
28 Nov2021
Rio Ave#16 vs Nacional#15
1-0•
19 May2021
Nacional#15 vs Rio Ave#16
1-2•
05 Feb2021
Rio Ave#16 vs Nacional#15
0-0•
17 Mar2019
Nacional#15 vs Rio Ave#16
0-1•

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