Football · Liga Portugal · Portugal
Rio Ave vs Nacional
Sunday, 11 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Rio Ave3-2Nacional
- 1ST HALF
- 1-1
- 2ND HALF
- 2-1
Prediction and result
Before kickoff, the model made Rio Ave favourites at 47% (Nacional 32%, draw 21%). That rests on 3 wins in Rio Ave's last 10 matches to 1 for Nacional and 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 55%. Rio Ave won 3-2, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- Nacional have lost 5 matches in a row.
- They last met on 25 Jan 2026, when Nacional won 4-0.
Portugal•Liga Portugal

Rio Ave(4)
L49d
D54d
L62d
L71d
W77d
L84d
L90d
W98d
W107d
D111d

Nacional(2)
L49d
L56d
L63d
L69d
L76d
W83d
D89d
L98d
L107d
D108d
Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 17:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Rio Ave3-2Nacional
- 1ST HALF
- 1-1
- 2ND HALF
- 2-1
H2H: 4-4-2
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Rio Ave at homeNacional away
65
2/60/5
2/61/5
2/64/5
2.170.40
2.331.60
4/61/5
4/61/5
3/60/5
6/65/5
5/63/5
0/60/5
2/64/5
5/61/5
4/61/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Rio Ave: 1.74
Expected Goals
Nacional: 1.39
Rio Ave
47%
Draw
21%
Nacional
32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Rio Ave · # = league position now
19 Sept2026
Alverca#10 vs Rio Ave#16
1-0L
14 Sept2026
Rio Ave#16 vs Estrela#12
3-3D
06 Sept2026
Santa Clara#4 vs Rio Ave#16
4-0L
28 Aug2026
Rio Ave#16 vs Sporting cp#3
0-4L
22 Aug2026
Estoril#18 vs Rio Ave#16
0-2W
15 Aug2026
Rio Ave#16 vs fc Porto#1
0-2L
09 Aug2026
Gil Vicente#7 vs Rio Ave#16
1-0L
01 Aug2026
Rio Ave#16 vs Tondela
3-1W
23 Jul2026
Rio Ave#16 vs Nottingham 2
5-2W
19 Jul2026
Rio Ave#16 vs al Ahli sc#6
2-2D
Team 2 Form
Nacional · # = league position now
19 Sept2026
Nacional#15 vs Famalicao#11
0-4L
12 Sept2026
Nacional#15 vs Alverca#10
1-3L
05 Sept2026
Sporting cp#3 vs Nacional#15
2-0L
30 Aug2026
Nacional#15 vs Estrela#12
2-3L
23 Aug2026
Vitoria Guimaraes#13 vs Nacional#15
1-0L
16 Aug2026
Nacional#15 vs Estoril#18
2-0W
10 Aug2026
Santa Clara#4 vs Nacional#15
2-2D
01 Aug2026
Maritimo#14 vs Nacional#15
1-0L
23 Jul2026
Estrela#12 vs Nacional#15
2-0L
22 Jul2026
Nacional#15 vs Leganes#17
0-0D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
25 Jan2026
Nacional#15 vs Rio Ave#16
4-0•
17 Aug2025
Rio Ave#16 vs Nacional#15
1-1•
10 May2025
Nacional#15 vs Rio Ave#16
3-3•
29 Dec2024
Rio Ave#16 vs Nacional#15
2-1•
31 Jul2024
Rio Ave#16 vs Nacional#15
1-1•
10 Apr2022
Nacional#15 vs Rio Ave#16
2-0•
28 Nov2021
Rio Ave#16 vs Nacional#15
1-0•
19 May2021
Nacional#15 vs Rio Ave#16
1-2•
05 Feb2021
Rio Ave#16 vs Nacional#15
0-0•
17 Mar2019
Nacional#15 vs Rio Ave#16
0-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Rio Ave
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