Real Madrid (ESP) vs Fiorentina (ITA)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Real Madrid (ESP) favourites at 49% (Fiorentina (ITA) 30%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.75 to 1.33 and 6 wins in Real Madrid (ESP)'s last 10 matches to 4 for Fiorentina (ITA). It put over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 56%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• Real Madrid (ESP) have won 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 23 Aug 2017, when Real Madrid (ESP) won 2-1.